Canada says no China free trade plan despite U.S. tariff threat

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Canada says no China free trade plan despite U.S. tariff threat
Both sides point to USMCA as the operative rulebook.

Prime Minister Mark Carney said Monday that Canada has no intention of pursuing a broad free trade agreement with China, pushing back after President Donald Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Canadian goods if Ottawa becomes a conduit for Chinese imports.

Carney framed recent steps with Beijing as targeted fixes to specific disputes, not a framework for a comprehensive pact, and he pointed to existing North American rules that constrain any such deal.

Carney’s comments come after a weekend of sharp rhetoric. On Sunday, January 25, 2026, Trump posted that China is “taking over” Canada and warned that if Ottawa moves forward with what he called an ongoing trade deal, Washington would immediately double tariffs to seal the U.S. market.

Carney, speaking Monday, said Canada has “no intention” of negotiating a full free trade agreement with China or any other non-market economy, adding that recent steps were designed to “rectify some issues that developed in the last couple of years.”

What Ottawa says it is doing

Carney emphasized that his government’s engagement with Beijing has focused on discrete tariff adjustments and market access issues. He said the measures do not amount to a strategic reset or a wide-ranging deal, and he stressed that Ottawa remains bound by North American commitments that require transparency around any talks with non-market economies. According to Carney, the aim is to remove friction for Canadian producers while safeguarding national security and supply chains.

The prime minister also underscored that Ottawa already has enforceable U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement provisions that require prior notification before any party negotiates a trade pact with a non-market economy. He argued those guardrails protect North American interests, not undermine them. In this telling, the recent China steps are tweaks within the existing legal landscape, not a pivot toward a new architecture.

Trump’s warning and the politics around it

Trump’s tariff threat escalated a dispute that was already spilling across capitals and into markets. The president warned that if Canada becomes a “drop off port” for Chinese goods, the United States will respond with 100% tariffs on Canadian imports. He criticized Carney personally, joking online that he hoped China would at least “leave ice hockey alone,” and cast Canada as at risk of economic capture by Beijing.

The White House has framed the issue as one of enforcement and leverage. Officials argue that if Canada lowers tariffs on sensitive product lines without robust rules of origin and anti-circumvention protections, Chinese goods could reach U.S. shelves through Canadian channels. Trump’s team says the warning is intended to deter that scenario before it forms. Canadian officials counter that North American rules and Canadian customs enforcement already guard against transshipment.

U.S. pushback beyond the White House

Political fire came from other corners in Washington. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent criticized Ottawa’s outreach on national television Sunday, saying Canada risks helping China “pour their cheap goods into the U.S.” He noted that USMCA is due for a review this summer and questioned Carney’s motives, characterizing his Davos remarks as virtue signaling to “globalist friends.”

Those comments reflect a broader skepticism inside parts of the U.S. government about any Western opening to Beijing. Supporters of a hard line argue that even limited tariff adjustments can create market distortions if not paired with strict origin checks and investment screening.

Others, including cross-border business groups, warn that sweeping tariff threats raise costs for consumers and complicate supply chains that the United States and Canada share.

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